Severe Thunderstorm Watch #466

This includes Gillete, Rapid City, and Dickinson

625 PM MDT SAT AUG 3 2013

   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

   * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
     SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA
     WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
     NORTHEAST WYOMING

   * EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 625 PM
     UNTIL 200 AM MDT.

   * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
     SEVERAL VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAM

Tornado Watch #464, Severe Thunderstorm Watch #465

This includes Denver, Fort Collins, Fort Morgan, and Cheyenne.

235 PM MDT SAT AUG 3 2013

   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

   * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
     THE NORTHEAST QUARTER OF COLORADO
     PARTS OF SOUTHEAST WYOMING

   * EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 235 PM UNTIL
     1000 PM MDT.

   * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
     A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
     SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
       INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
     SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH POSSIBLE

This includes Colorado Springs, Pueblo, La Junta, and Dalhart.

240 PM MDT SAT AUG 3 2013

   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

   * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
     THE SOUTHEAST QUARTER OF COLORADO
     PARTS OF NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO
     WESTERN PARTS OF THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
     NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE

   * EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 240 PM UNTIL
     1000 PM MDT.

   * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
     SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
       INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
     SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH POSSIBLE
     A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE

Severe Thunderstorm Watch #460

This includes Tulsa, Ponca City, Wichita, Salina, Medicine Lodge, Pittsburg, Chanute, and Joplin.

720 PM CDT FRI AUG 2 2013

   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

   * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
     FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS
     SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
     NORTHERN OKLAHOMA

   * EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 720 PM
     UNTIL 200 AM CDT.

   * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
     SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
       INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
     SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

Assortment of Watches In Effect

The watch over southeast Nebraska was issued minutes ago because of high concern at the SPC of a developing MCS moving into the area.

You can see the MCS, or line of severe storms, moving southeast into the watch area. This watch does include Omaha and Lincoln, and the main threat will be strong straight line winds up to 70mph and some golf ball size hail. Off to the west, individual supercells over northern Nebraska where the initial Tornado Watch are have only resulted in one Tornado Warning, which has since expired. The storms are capable of producing large hail and damaging winds, and isolated tornadoes still can't be ruled out.

Other watches for parts of Wyoming, Kansas, Colorado, Idaho, and Montana are in effect for likely non-MCS related wind and hail producing storms. These watches include places like Fort Collins, Loveland, Cheyenne, Billings, Bozeman, and Rapid City. ,

Tornado Watch #454

This includes Grand Island, Hastings, Kearney, North Platte, Valentine, Winner, and Kadoka.

125 PM CDT THU AUG 1 2013

   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

   * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
     NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA
     SOUTH-CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA

   * EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 125 PM UNTIL
     1000 PM CDT.

   * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
     SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
     SEVERAL VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY
     SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

New Tornado Watch Coming for Parts of Nebraska, South Dakota

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1581
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1253 PM CDT THU AUG 01 2013

   AREAS AFFECTED...NEB...SWRN SD

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY 

   VALID 011753Z - 012000Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SUPERCELLS WILL FORM BY
   MID-AFTERNOON WITH INITIAL PRIMARY RISKS OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND A
   FEW TORNADOES. A WW WILL BE ISSUED WITHIN THE HOUR...WITH MODERATE
   UNCERTAINTY OVER THE SPATIAL EXTENT OF AN INITIAL WW.

   DISCUSSION...17Z SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACED A 1012 MB CYCLONE NEAR
   BFF...WITH A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING NEWD AND THEN E ACROSS
   SRN SD. SURFACE-BASED CB/S HAVE FORMED ALONG THIS FRONT IN
   SHANNON/BENNETT COUNTIES SD. ADDITIONAL CU DEVELOPMENT HAS BEEN
   NOTED ALONG RESIDUAL OUTFLOW IN CNTRL NEB /CENTERED OVER VALLEY
   COUNTY/. ALTHOUGH LARGE-SCALE FOR ASCENT IS NEBULOUS...CONTINUED
   SURFACE HEATING WILL YIELD INCREASING DESTABILIZATION AND MINIMAL
   CAPPING WITH SUSTAINED SURFACE-BASED TSTMS EXPECTED DURING THE
   AFTERNOON /SUPPORTED BY RECENT HRRR RUNS/. STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR
   AND STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL BE QUITE FAVORABLE FOR
   SUPERCELLS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL /SOME SIGNIFICANT/. VEERING OF THE
   LOW-LEVEL WIND PROFILE ALONG WITH THE PRESENCE OF THE BOUNDARIES
   WILL SUPPORT A RISK FOR A COUPLE OF TORNADOES AS WELL.

   ..GRAMS/MEAD.. 08/01/2013


   ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...TOP...GID...LBF...UNR...GLD...BOU...
   CYS...